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Human Geography

Agent-Based Simulation of Vulnerability Dynamics: A Case by Cilli Sobiech

By Cilli Sobiech

This thesis constitutes a rare leading edge learn method in moving the techniques and strategies of complicated platforms to danger study. It ambitiously bridges the obstacles among theoretical, empirical and methodical study paintings and integrates those fields into one complete method of facing uncertainty in socio-ecological platforms. The built agent-based simulation goals on the dynamics of social vulnerability within the thought of procedure of the German North coastline. hence, the social simulation presents an analytical strategy to discover the person, relational, and spatial elements resulting in dynamics of vulnerability in society. Combining complexity technology and possibility examine via the strategy of agent-based simulation hereby emphasizes the significance of knowing interrelations contained in the procedure for the system's improvement, i.e. for the evolving. in keeping with a vulnerability evaluation relating to vulnerability features, current possibility habit and self-protection personal tastes of non-public families opposed to the affects of flooding and typhoon surges, attainable procedure trajectories should be explored via simulation experiments. The system-analytical procedure for that reason contributes to an built-in attention of multi-dimensional and context-sensitv social phenomena resembling vulnerability. in addition it achieves conceptually and strategically suitable implications for threat examine and intricate platforms research.

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